Motherwell vs Celtic: Scottish Premiership 2026 Match Preview
Analysis by Robert Marin · Last Updated: 28 September 2026 at 14:31 UTC
Date of last modification: 28 September 2026 at 14:31 UTC
Match Preview
Motherwell host Celtic in a Scottish Premiership match on 11 October 2026. Motherwell sit eighth in the league table, while Celtic enter the eighth round positioned first. The statistical metrics indicate an advantage for the visiting side, though Motherwell hold home advantage.
Statistical Indicators
Celtic hold a win probability of 68%, compared to 18% for Motherwell and 14% for a draw. The statistical lean points toward a draw or Celtic win as the lower-risk indicator, supported by a value signal favoring Celtic.
Expected Goals and Match Dynamics
Expected goals figures project 2.36 for Celtic and 1.27 for Motherwell. In addition, the goal data points to more than 1.5 goals. Celtic recorded an attacking index of 81 and a defending index of 62, while Motherwell registered 65 and 42 respectively.
Head-to-Head Record
Historical head-to-head records show Motherwell with a 15% success rate, whereas Celtic have claimed 85% of past meetings. Form indices stand at 33 for Celtic and 30 for Motherwell, with consistency ratings at 62 and 55.
What to Watch
Pressure indices register 84 for Celtic and 82 for Motherwell, highlighting high-intensity approaches from both squads. Data reliability is recorded at 43% for Celtic and 52% for Motherwell. Track the live score and projected lineups in the Arena Sports Insights app.
Arena Sports Insights provides statistical analysis for informational and entertainment purposes only. All data subject to change. Not financial advice.