Greece vs Netherlands: UEFA Nations League 2026 Match Preview
Analysis by Robert Marin · Last Updated: 28 September 2026 at 14:06 UTC
Date of last modification: 28 September 2026 at 14:06 UTC
Match Preview
Greece meet Netherlands in the UEFA Nations League on 1 October 2026 for round 3. Greece hold first place in the standings with a 51% win probability, while Netherlands sit second with a 34% win probability.
Recent Form and Standings
Greece occupy first position with a last 5 form rating of W and a form index of 31. Netherlands hold second place with a DW form sequence and a form index of 41, alongside a consistency index of 45 compared to 53 for Greece.
Expected Goals and Match Dynamics
The data shows 2.47 expected goals for Greece and 1.45 expected goals for Netherlands. Attacking indices stand at 57 for Greece and 56 for Netherlands, while defending indices are recorded at 45 and 49 respectively.
Head-to-Head Record
Historical head-to-head figures reflect 25% victories for Greece and 75% victories for Netherlands across previous meetings. Pressure indices register 78 for Greece and 87 for Netherlands as both sides approach round 3.
Statistical Indicators
The statistical lean points toward either team winning with the draw representing the main risk, backed by a value signal favoring Greece. Track the live score and projected lineups in the Arena Sports Insights app.
Arena Sports Insights provides statistical analysis for informational and entertainment purposes only. All data subject to change. Not financial advice.