FC Thun vs Heart of Midlothian: UEFA Conference League 2026 Match Preview
Analysis by Robert Marin · Last Updated: 3 November 2026 at 02:53 UTC
Date of last modification: 3 November 2026 at 02:53 UTC
Match Preview
FC Thun meet Heart of Midlothian in the UEFA Conference League on 5 November 2026. Round 3 brings together two sides separated by just three league positions, with identical form index numbers and low expected goal metrics.
Recent Form and Standings
FC Thun occupy position 32 in the standings and show a recent five-match sequence of LWLLW. Heart of Midlothian sit at position 29 with a form run of LLWDL. Both clubs share an equal form index rating of 17.
Statistical Indicators
The model calculates an expected goals figure of 0.14 for FC Thun and 0.34 for Heart of Midlothian. The attacking index registers 23 for FC Thun and 38 for Heart of Midlothian, while defensive metrics stand at 34 and 36 respectively.
Expected Goals and Match Dynamics
Win probabilities show 10% for FC Thun, 64% for a draw, and 26% for Heart of Midlothian. The data reliability metric is recorded at 49% for both teams. Defensive numbers point to fewer than 2.5 goals in total.
What to Watch
Pressure index figures show FC Thun at 45 and Heart of Midlothian at 66, highlighting different levels of defensive load. Track the live score and projected lineups in the Arena Sports Insights app.
Expected Lineups
FC Thun4-4-2
- 1Niklas Steffen
- 47Fabio Fehr
- 23Marco Bürki
- 19Jan Bamert
- 2Olivier Mambwa
- 70Nils Reichmuth
- 16Justin Roth
- 14Mattias Käit
- 30Nico Maier
- 96Brighton Labeau
- 9Furkan Dursun
Heart of Midlothian4-4-2
- 1Beau Reus
- 23Jordi Altena
- 64Malachi Fagan-Walcott
- 5Jamie McCart
- 3Stephen Kingsley
- 29Sabah Kerjota
- 22Tomas Magnusson
- 78Laurent Mendy
- 15Josh McPake
- 21James Wilson
- 10Cláudio Braga
Arena Sports Insights provides statistical analysis for informational and entertainment purposes only. All data subject to change. Not financial advice.