Dundee United vs Heart of Midlothian: Scottish Premiership 2026 Match Preview
Analysis by Robert Marin · Last Updated: 30 October 2026 at 22:33 UTC
Date of last modification: 30 October 2026 at 22:33 UTC
Match Preview
Dundee United face Heart of Midlothian in the Scottish Premiership on 31 October 2026. Round 12 brings together two teams positioned closely in the table, with Heart of Midlothian holding higher expected goals and win probability metrics while Dundee United show strong recent form.
Recent Form and Standings
Dundee United occupy position 5 in the table with a recent form sequence of WWDWD and a form index of 64. Heart of Midlothian sit in position 3 with a DWLWD run and a form index of 41, alongside a consistency index of 50 compared to 46 for the hosts.
Expected Goals and Match Dynamics
The model calculates 2.06 expected goals for Dundee United and 2.78 for Heart of Midlothian. Win probabilities stand at 29% for Dundee United, 13% for the draw, and 58% for Heart of Midlothian, supported by attacking indices of 73 and 83 respectively.
Head-to-Head Record
Historical meeting figures record 30% of past encounters won by Dundee United and 70% secured by Heart of Midlothian. Both clubs share an identical pressure index rating of 82 heading into this match.
Statistical Indicators
Statistical indicators point toward a draw or Heart of Midlothian win as the lower-risk outcome, with goal data indicating more than 1.5 goals in total. Track the live score and projected lineups in the Arena Sports Insights app.
Arena Sports Insights provides statistical analysis for informational and entertainment purposes only. All data subject to change. Not financial advice.