Denmark vs Portugal: UEFA Nations League 2026 Match Preview
Analysis by Robert Marin · Last Updated: 28 September 2026 at 14:01 UTC
Date of last modification: 28 September 2026 at 14:01 UTC
Match Preview
Denmark face Portugal in the UEFA Nations League on 1 October 2026. Denmark hold the second position in the standings, while Portugal sit above them in first place as both teams meet for round three.
Recent Form and Standings
Denmark enter this match holding position 2 with a recent form record reading LW across their previous 2 matches. Portugal occupy position 1 in the standings with a form output of W from 1 recent match. The form index sits at 25 for Denmark and 38 for Portugal.
Expected Goals and Match Dynamics
The model assigns Denmark an expected goals figure of 1.21 alongside a win probability of 51%. Portugal carry an expected goals total of 0.47 with a win probability of 26%. The draw probability is calculated at 23%.
Statistical Indicators
Denmark hold an attacking index of 56 and a defending index of 50, compared to Portugal's attacking index of 50 and defending index of 58. Consistency indexes are 55 for Denmark and 87 for Portugal, with pressure indexes at 78 and 86 respectively.
Head-to-Head Record
Historical head-to-head records show Denmark with a 45% win history in past encounters, while Portugal register a 55% success rate. Data reliability metrics stand at 53% for Denmark and 41% for Portugal. Track the live score and projected lineups in the Arena Sports Insights app.
Arena Sports Insights provides statistical analysis for informational and entertainment purposes only. All data subject to change. Not financial advice.