Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian: Scottish Premiership 2026 Match Preview
Analysis by Robert Marin · Last Updated: 28 September 2026 at 21:06 UTC
Date of last modification: 28 September 2026 at 21:06 UTC
Match Preview
Celtic face Heart of Midlothian in the Scottish Premiership on 18 October 2026. Round 9 brings together two sides separated by two places in the table, with Celtic holding first position and Heart of Midlothian positioned third.
Expected Goals and Match Dynamics
The model calculates expected goals at 2.65 for Celtic and 2.39 for Heart of Midlothian. Win probabilities sit at 48% for the home side, 39% for the visitors, and 13% for a draw. The goal data points to more than 1.5 goals in total.
Statistical Indicators
Attacking indices are tied at 81 for both clubs. Defending indices stand at 62 for Celtic and 51 for Heart of Midlothian. Form indices are 33 and 46 respectively, while consistency metrics are 62 and 51. The statistical lean indicates either team winning as the primary outcome, with the draw representing the main risk.
Pressure and Consistency
Pressure indices register at 84 for Celtic and 82 for Heart of Midlothian. Data reliability is measured at 43% for Celtic and 47% for Heart of Midlothian, while the value signal identifies a statistical edge pointing toward Celtic.
Head-to-Head Record
Historical head-to-head records show 55% of past encounters won by Celtic and 45% secured by Heart of Midlothian. Track the live score and projected lineups in the Arena Sports Insights app.
Arena Sports Insights provides statistical analysis for informational and entertainment purposes only. All data subject to change. Not financial advice.